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Events

Modeling the Long-Term Care System: The Case of the Republic of Belarus

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The Institute for Social Policy at the National Research University Higher School of Economics will held on Thursday, September 23, 2021 at 4 p.m. the 17th academic workshop on the topic of Modeling the Long-Term Care System: The Case of the Republic of Belarus. The event is organized on the online platform Zoom in the framework of a research grant funded by the Ministry of Science and Higher Education of the Russian Federation (grant ID: 075-15-2020-928) and in cooperation with the World Bank within the series of events under the topic “Active Ageing Policy and Pension Reforms: Russian and International Experience”.

                                   

Countries’ successes in reducing mortality, including in older ages, lead to more and more people spending the last years of their longer lives experiencing deficits in self-care and requiring outside care. Many countries try to keep older people’s decent quality of life by implementing long-term care systems financed from the state budget or under the social insurance program. Under these conditions, it becomes crucial to obtain well-grounded forecasts of the number of persons requiring long-term care and the LTC expenditures. Within the framework of the regular scientific seminar “Active Ageing Policy and Pension Reforms: Russian and International Experience”, we have repeatedly addressed the issues of organizing, financing and modelling long-term care. However, the focus was more often on the Russian situation and data. The subject of discussion at the upcoming seminar will be the methodology for modelling the long-term care system, developed for the EU-28 countries and tested in the Republic of Belarus.

Speaker:

Mitchell Wiener, Senior Social Protection Specialist, World Bank

The Methodology of Long-term Care Cost Projections: Example of Belarus

Elderly people face a variety of challenges in order to lead productive and fulfilling lives in their old age. Therefore, it is important to focus policy efforts on development of a comprehensive and equally accessible long term care systems, which support healthy aging. To design a fiscally sustainable LTC, the policy makers should consider the present costs of LTC but also to project those costs into the future. Various external factors, such as population aging and inflation could have a significant impact on the fiscal sustainability of LTC programs. In comparison with healthcare and pension costs, LTC costs are even more sensitive since these services are primarily provided to those aged 70 and older. Establishing baseline costs for present programs is important in order to be able to measure the potential impact of changes to the eligibility criteria and benefits provided under national LTC program. The presentation will present key findings of the report “The Long-Term Care in Belarus: First Overview”, which was prepared by the specialists of the World Bank. The report is focused on aging policy assessment and development and specifically discusses the methods and assumptions used to develop future baseline forecasts for Belarus’s current LTC program. The methodology follows the techniques used by the European Commission for the projection of LTC costs in “The 2018 ageing report: Economic and budgetary projections for the 28 EU member states (2016–2070)”. The presentation will also discuss the challenges the team faced with getting needed data and setting assumptions

Moderator:

 

 Oksana Sinyavskaya, Deputy Director, Institute for Social Policy, Higher School of Economics

Panelists: 

 
 

Evgeny Yakushev, Head, Laboratory for pension system development, Institute for Social Policy, HSE

 

Alexander Shkrebelo, Executive Director of Long-Term Care Association (Russia)

 

Venue: ZOOM platform

Date and time: September 23, 2021 4 p.m. – 6 p.m.

Working languages: Russian, English

The online registration before 11 am on Thursday September 23, 2021 at https://isp.hse.ru/polls/505890132.html is required.

Media representatives are kindly asked to contact the University press service at press@hse.ru for accreditation to the event.